One of the regular commenters here asked what I thought of the Newsweek poll that has diametrically opposed numbers than the fast Washington Post poll. My first impression is the WaPo poll was a very fast reaction poll and admitted it was done that way - the margin of error is likely higher, but it may actually be quite accurate. I have not seen the raw data, but I'm guessing they simply did cold calls and did not worry about how many Democrats and how many Republicans, etc. The Newsweek poll was done by an outfit I am not real familiar with, and there is no raw data, so it's impossible to say how they set the sample up.
Frankly, if it's up to the standard of many polls I have commented on, it's likely got a badly - and I mean badly of biblical proportions - skewed sample. Most of the latest polls have had absolutely absurd samples. Republicans outnumbered by over 10% by Democrats and and an enormous independent count. Far, far outside the rather consistent over time Harris Poll numbers.
So, until I see raw data, I won't be able to judge. Interestingly, the Mystery Pollster thought the WaPo survey was pretty well done.
UPDATE: Actually, this is probably enough to do a new post on, but I'll post it here. First, Dan Riehl of Riehl World View was actually called by Gallup and is one of their poll sample. Read his take on the poll, because it is important. Assuming his description is accurate (and I am willing to bet it is) the form of the questions provide a "push". Look - I was a psych major once upon a time and had to take design of experiments. That's a push poll. There is a vaguely threatening air about the questions - be intellectually honest. (I know this is a different poll than the Newsweek, but I think it is relevant).
Second, Curt over at Flopping Aces has got the sample data for the Newsweek poll. It is heavily biased. There are 9% more Democrats and 32% ind pendant? 32%? Are you serious?
Now I'm calling it a biased poll, and a serious problem.
I have to ask a question and ask that you answer honestly. Is gaining political power so important that you are willing to do so by using fabricated data to do it? Is it so important that you are willing to lie, cheat and steal to gain it?
If the answer is yes, then explain exactly how are you one iota better than the people you charge with using those tactics?
I'll wait.