Someone once said that armchair generals discuss strategy, professionals discuss logistics. The New York Times today has an article that talks about this issue - and why troop level reductions in an election year are problematic.
Discussions of when, how fast and how far to draw down American troops in Iraq will no doubt be influenced by the domestic political mood, with Congressional elections approaching in November. Yet those pushing for significant withdrawals will run into an undeniable law of military operations: the American combat troops who remain in Iraq, and the growing number of Iraqi security forces, will still require substantial numbers of supporting American forces to remain, too, to supply food, fuel and ammunition and otherwise support combat operations.
As the Bush administration considers how and when to draw down the nearly 133,000 American troops still in Iraq, those logistical factors, among many other pressures and counterpressures, will weigh heavily toward keeping a sizable force there, delivering supplies, gathering and analyzing intelligence and providing air support to Iraqi security forces.
People need to remember that while troop reductions might be a nice goal, if even one American soldier is put at risk because of a politically motivated withdrawal, that is an unacceptable situation. Almost daily there are some people saying we went in without enough troops and, at the same time, someone else saying we are over stressing the army and can't maintain these levels.
"General Casey is feeling the pressure. He knows how hard this is on the Army, but he's getting pulled in two directions," said a general who recently served in Iraq. Like some other officers and officials interviewed for this article, he was granted anonymity because he said he had been ordered not to discuss troop levels. Lt. Gen. Robert Fry, a British Royal Marine and the deputy ground commander in Iraq, said that insurgents have increased their attacks in an attempt to disrupt formation of a permanent Iraqi government for fear it could attract widespread support among Iraqis.
"We are about to enter a phase here which is likely to be decisive in terms of the political transformation of this country," he told Pentagon reporters in a video briefing from Iraq on Friday. "The opposition knows this just as well as we do."
Our media is not helping at the moment, either. The way they are presenting the news from Iraq is painting a picture for the terrorists. It isn't a pretty picture. Just like the media did in Vietnam, they are helping snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. By presenting an image of a nation that is in disarray, one that is not willing to support the troops, they endanger the troops. The terrorists are waiting for that last helicopter.
Let's not give it to them this time, please.