Why Counting Chickens ≠ Good Strategy

Real Clear Politics has done some updates to their poll tracking. It does not paint quite the same picture of The Greatest Republican Disaster Of All Time™ that the cheerleading media and the gloating partisans would have you believe. It's not rosy, but it isn't the Titanic, either. I won't excerpt it; you really kind of have to read the whole thing to see where they are getting their data and conclusions.