Hurricane Season Predictions Downgraded
Oh, not by a whole lot, but it appears to be somewhat significant. Private forecaster WSI Corp. has reduced the predictions it made earlier this year. Why? Because water temperatures in the Atlantic are significantly lower than predictions. That started in the spring when temperatures declined sharply.
The season will bring 14 named storms, of which six will become hurricanes and three will become major hurricanes, WSI said in its revised outlook. WSI had previously expected 15 named storms of which eight would become hurricanes and four would become major hurricanes.
"Because the ocean temperatures have not yet rebounded from the significant drop in late spring, we have decided to reduce our forecast numbers slightly," said Todd Crawford, a WSI seasonal forecaster.
The energy and insurance industries are keenly watching the 2007 storm season after the record damage caused by hurricanes two years ago.
Tim Blair calls it global coldening. He also notes the dismay that climate change predictions are not working out - at all - in the way the "scientists" so firmly proclaimed. Which does not deter the dire predictions in the least:
So, although Britain’s present weather seems to have nothing to do with climate change, it still indicates a future climate change deathscape - that won’t be warmer, but colder. Robert Fisk, who misses his snow, will be delighted.
Blair left out the funniest part of George Monbiot's Guardian column, though. He appears to be predicting the complete submergence of all of Britain.
With rising sea levels and more winter rain - and remember that when the trees are dormant and the soils saturated, there are fewer places for the rain to go - all it will take is a freshwater flood to coincide with a high spring tide and we have a formula for full-blown disaster. We have now seen how localised floods can wipe out essential services and overwhelm emergency workers. But this month's events don't even register beside some of the predictions circulating in learned journals.
We'd recommend that every, single home in Britain immediately install a periscope. It seems the prudent thing to do.
Environment, Junk Science, Left Wing | Gaius Tuesday, 24 July , 2007
By crosspatch, Wednesday, 25 July , 2007 @ 1:38 am
From last year:
From last year
And now this
Seems no matter WHAT happens we can blame it on greenhouse gasses.
By Gaius, Wednesday, 25 July , 2007 @ 5:30 am
Wow. That’s some science.
By feeblemind, Wednesday, 25 July , 2007 @ 8:22 am
Excellent post, Crosspatch.