Max Boot hammers Harry "Surrender!" Reid in his latest column for the Los Angeles Times. Because the surge is working, despite Harry's declaration that the war was lost. Reid is now seeking the "Kumbaya" moment he derided just a few months ago - a sign of how well the surge is doing.
As recently as a month ago, it appeared that Gen. David H. Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan Crocker would be running into a withering fusillade of rhetorical fire when they appeared on Capitol Hill to report on the progress of the "surge" in Iraq. Now that their testimony is upon us, the political environment has become, in military argot, considerably more "permissive."
A sign of how much things have changed: In July, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid was pressing for a "date certain" for troop withdrawal; he derided those who wanted to pass a nonbinding drawdown resolution "that has no teeth in it" just so "you can circle and sing 'Kumbaya.' " Today, he's trying to reach accommodation with Republicans on just such a "Kumbaya" bill.
It's obvious what accounts for the more cooperative mood. Notwithstanding all the political hype and hyperbole, events on the ground do matter, and there is no denying that events in Iraq have been moving in the right direction since the surge started. Not even the Democrats deny it. Sens. Jack Reed, Hillary Clinton and Dick Durbin, among others, have acknowledged that, as Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl Levin put it, "The military aspects of President Bush's new strategy in Iraq . . . appear to have produced some credible and positive results."
As nauseating as the thought of watching Harry sing is, he is hunting desperately for a way out of the box he made for himself. Far from being relentlessly hammered during the August break, Republicans actually had few problems. Democrats got an earful, however. Despite the shrieking from the left, the Democrats found out that embracing surrender wasn't real popular with the majority of Americans. Hence the sudden turnaround. They are trying to move the goalposts, but Boot points out the futility of that in the face of real progress in Iraq.
Faced with those impressive returns, surge opponents have tried to change the topic by pointing to the lack of political progress. They cite the Government Accountability Office report that found that the Iraqi government failed to meet 11 of 18 benchmarks and only partly met four others. But not one of these benchmarks relates to the most stunning and unexpected development of the last year: the decision by large numbers of Sunnis to take up arms against Al Qaeda in Iraq.
This movement started in Anbar province and has now spread to Diyala, Nineveh, Babil and other provinces, including parts of Baghdad. According to David Kilcullen, Petraeus' recently departed counterinsurgency advisor, the Sunni uprising "is now affecting about 40% of the country." If it continues, it could have far-reaching implications, political as well as military, because the more success that American and Iraqi security forces have against Al Qaeda (which is rabidly anti-Shiite), the more they undermine the claim that Shiite militias are necessary to protect their own people. "We might end up," Kilcullen writes, "with a revolt of the center against both extremes, which would be a truly major development."
The turning of the Sunnis on al Qaeda is a major, major thing. It may well force the political changes that are needed in the long run. But the Democrats will need to start warming up for a sing-along pretty quick. Americans do not like to lose - and they don't like people who want to be losers.