Next Exit Tibet?

The military junta in Burma (or Myanmar) has begun cracking heads among the monks protesting their rule. There are multiple reports this morning about protesters being beaten, dragged to jail, and possibly shot.

About 300 monks and activists were arrested across Yangon, according to an exile dissident group, and reporters saw a number of monks — who are highly revered in Myanmar — being dragged into trucks.

The junta had banned all public gatherings of more than five people and imposed a nighttime curfew following eight days of anti-government marches led by monks in Yangon and other areas of the country, including the biggest protests in nearly two decades.

A march toward the center of Yangon followed a tense confrontation at the city's famed Shwedagon Pagoda between the protesters and riot police who fired warning shots into the air, beat some monks and dragged others away into waiting trucks.

The latest developments could further alienate already isolated Myanmar from the international community and put pressure on China, Myanmar's top economic and diplomatic supporter, which is keen to burnish its international image before next year's Olympics in Beijing.

But if the junta backs down, it risks appearing weak and emboldening protesters, which could escalate the tension.

Is the junta heading for a Tiananmen moment? Quite possibly. The UN is expressing concern - which is more or less a green light for thugs everywhere. And recall, if you will, how well Tiananmen worked out for democracy in China. And remember how the UN abandoned Tibet. See any parallels?