Heading South?
The latest poll from USA Today/Gallup shows both Giuliani and Clinton with fairly long leads over their competitors. The bad news, however, is that the numbers for both are trending steadily downward and have eroded significantly in the past month.
"National support for Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton and Republican Rudy Giuliani significantly eroded over the past month," USA TODAY Washington bureau chief Susan Page writes.
Meanwhile, Republican Mike Huckabee's standing in the national poll has shot up — to the point where he leads a group of four GOP contenders basically tied for second place behind front-runner Giuliani.
Susan adds that results of the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll underscore the volatile nature of both the Democratic and Republican nomination battles with just one month to go before the Jan. 3 Iowa presidential caucuses.
The national telephone poll was taken Friday through Sunday. There were 425 Republicans and "leaning" Republicans surveyed, and 494 Democrats and "leaning Democrats." Each number has a margin of error of +/- 5 percentage points.
Trends are the important things to watch in polling, as I see it. And a substantial downward trend for both leaders isn't a good thing for them. Their respective leads, however, are substantial, so it may not be enough of an erosion to unseat them - for either one. Still, they can't be feeling too good about it.
By syn, Monday, 3 December , 2007 @ 7:09 pm
Why do I get the feeling that Huckabee is a Republican Jimmy Carter?
By Anthony (Los Angeles), Monday, 3 December , 2007 @ 9:17 pm
Syn: “Mike Who?”
Gaius: This campaign season is so long that I think anything can happen, just because there’s enough time for it. Thus, bored Iowa voters decide to shake things up by giving the lead to a Southern social conservative and a north-central empty suit. The real campaign begins after Iowa, and I don’t see either of these two capturing the nomination — even if they win.
By Quilly Mammoth, Tuesday, 4 December , 2007 @ 6:45 am
RON PAUL!
(kidding)
By martian, Tuesday, 4 December , 2007 @ 8:09 am
I just can’t get rid of the feeling that we Americans didn’t fare all that well the LAST time we elected a president from the state of Arkansas. I don’t see Huckabee as a major improvement.