Handy-Dandy Pre-Post-Caucus Spin Guide
Chuck Todd at MSNBC has your handy-dandy guide to post-Iowa-caucus spin all made up in advance. He lays out how he thinks the various camps will spin any possible outcome to the caucuses. Well, not every scenario, but close to it. Its a lesson for armchair punditry.
Hillary Clinton
- A win: Strike up the inevitability pose. If Clinton squeaks out even a one-point win, it will have the effect of a landslide victory, particularly if she succeeds in a high-turnout scenario. She'll need to follow up a win in Iowa with a win in New Hampshire, of course, but success here could motivate both rank-and-file establishment Democrats (who had been on the fence) to climb aboard. And that will send a message, in particular to women voters, that there is a movement happening, one that the media has ignored until now.
- A three-way tie: The Clinton camp will have two challenges in this scenario. One is to make sure the media doesn't somehow turn the tie into a "60-plus percent of Democrats rejected her" spin. While the Clinton campaign believes that they've gotten bad media coverage, they do have to worry about a certain segment of the press interpreting Clinton as the incumbent being rejected by majority margins. The second challenge is to make sure they declare victory in this case. With the polls indicating that Edwards and Obama had the juice to win, and Clinton seeming destined for no better than second, a tie may equal a win if her camp plays their cards right.
- A loss: Obviously, the Clinton team would rather lose to Edwards than to Obama. Third place would be a near-disaster scenario; second is recoverable. There will be a lot of Friday morning quarterbacking about whether Clinton should have even played in Iowa. It was never a natural fit and because many in the national media know this, there's every chance she'll get a few more primaries to prove herself.
No chance anyone believes she's one or two and done. There's too much history with the Clintons and their ability to come back. Despite what they think of the media, they'll be looking for comeback hints at some point; maybe it's Nevada, maybe it's Feb. 5.
He looks at all the candidates except Dennis Kucinich, leaving out the one major twist that might happen: the caucuses pick the mother of all "none-of-the-above" outcomes and nominates an alien! That's the one we here at Blue Crab Boulevard are hoping for. Just for the humor factor.
By Maggie, Thursday, 3 January , 2008 @ 11:03 am
the caucuses pick the mother of all “none-of-the-above” outcomes and nominates an alien!
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Gaius -
As far as I’m concerned, most, if not ALL, the democrats ARE aliens …
They don’t think like Earthlings/humans
They cannot use true logic and reasoning
They seek world domination of this island Earth
Most of the “male” democrats look a hell of a lot like Exeter and his fellow dudes from Metaluna
While the “female” democrats closely (and eerily) resemble the mutant creature of Metaluna
By Willie C, Thursday, 3 January , 2008 @ 3:29 pm
You know, everybody who votes flor Hillary in New Hampshire gets a free, new Cadillac, if she wins!
By Mwalimu Daudi, Thursday, 3 January , 2008 @ 5:07 pm
Where Clinton Inc. is concerned, spin is everything. Look for Hilly the Hun to claim that she has Unstoppable Momentum no matter what the results are.