Why Obama Will Win The Nomination

An analysis over at Real Clear Politics by Peter Brown explains why he believes Obama will win the nomination.

Among the current leaders of the party are many more women, African-Americans and Hispanics — but they're less diverse ideologically. The once moderate-conservative wing of the party has virtually disappeared, with millions following Ronald Reagan to the Republican Party or, these days, given the disillusionment with President Bush, calling themselves independents.

Today's Democratic leaders are the reformers who seized control of the party decades ago — and their ideological children. They operate differently than the folks who used to inhabit those smoke-filled rooms.

After all, they have presided over a party that has — with the exception of Bill Clinton — generally nominated presidential candidates from the North, with views and values that are in sync with those who vote in the primaries but apparently, if election results are to be believed, not with the rest of the American people.

Today's Democratic leaders, if too young to have been part of the civil rights movement, embrace it as one of the Democratic Party's crowning achievements. They see enhancing the rights and opportunities of minority Americans as an integral part of their role in government, even though only Lyndon Johnson in 1964, among Democratic presidential candidates since Franklin Roosevelt, has carried the majority of white voters.

Being part of an effort to deny Obama, who has a white mother and an African father, the nomination makes them very uneasy, especially when to do so they will have to overrule the verdict of the primaries and caucuses.

Remember, these superdelegates are elected officials and members of the Democratic National Committee — people invested in their own political future and that of the Democratic Party.

If Brown is correct, Clinton has no possible hope to secure the nomination - no matter what she accomplishes in the remaining contests. Not that she will drop out, mind you. If Brown's scenario plays out, it will be after the Clinton campaign is finally exhausted and broke. And after she has inflicted enormous political damage on Obama.

Grab the big tub of popcorn. 

  • By FedUp, Friday, 14 March , 2008 @ 10:56 am

    I can’t get worked up about the ‘damage’ Clinton is doing to Obama.  She’s just a sleazy politician out for power at any cost and Obama is an extremely liberal empty suit who mouths ‘Hope’ and ‘Change’ but without any concrete ways of effecting that.  They both want to raise taxes and enforce more of the nanny state upon those working their butts off to pay them for trotting around the country and not staying ‘home’ to do the job to which they were elected.  they are both vain, silly and shallow people!
    just think - with Barack you get Michelle and with Hillary, you get Bill - AGAIN!  IDoesn’t that give you full body shivers!
    I hope they keep it up until McCain is elected!
     

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