Hillary Pulls It Off
Hillary Clinton has won the Pennsylvania primary, CNN reports. The margin is slim at the moment with only an 8-point lead with about 50% of the precincts reporting. But she's aliiiiive.
Clinton's victory will make a dent in Obama's lead, but the size of the dent depends on the margin of victory.
"If she wins Pennsylvania by a hefty margin, she can prove she can win the traditional Democratic constituencies needed to win the election, mostly white working-class voters," said Gloria Borger, a CNN senior political analyst.
Could a double-digit victory make Clinton the comeback kid once again?
"If Clinton wins by more than 10 points, which was her margin in neighboring Ohio and New Jersey, her campaign will have new momentum and she will soldier on," said Bill Schneider, also a CNN senior political analyst.
The Obamaniacs will, of course, go postal over this. Is this enough for her to win? Probably not unless she sweeps the remaining contests. But she is still in. Obama did not get the knockout he needed. That should be making superdelegates worried. Obama has failed to get the knockout a number of times now in the primaries. How does that portend for the general election?
Not well, I think.
Funny, this is not up over at Memeorandum yet.
UPDATE: I guess those Catholics must have clung to Hillary;
Practicing Pennsylvania Catholics (weekly massgoers, by the canonical definition) made up 17 percent of the vote in the Democratic primary. They went 71 to 28 percent for Hillary over Obama. Non-practicing Catholics made up 18 percent of the Democratic vote, and they went for Hillary 65 to 35 percent.
It would appear that the jinx held in Pennsylvania. Gaffes count.
Other Links to this Post
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PA to Clinton. But by how much? | BitsBlog — Tuesday, 22 April , 2008 @ 8:54 pm
By Anthony (Los Angeles), Tuesday, 22 April , 2008 @ 11:17 pm
One thing to bear in mind is that a lot of rural precincts where Hillary was doing quite well (exit polling showing her with a 60-70% edge in some places) have yet to report. Her margin may yet break double digits.