West Virginia Exit Polls

This is more an update on my "Obama's 20% Solution" post than anything else.

From the WV exit polls we can see that the black vote came in at 4%.  This gives us a baseline of Clinton 58% – 42% Obama, as opposed to my earlier projection using 2004 general election data of Clinton 57% – 43% Obama.  Now, according to the exit polls Obama lost the white vote in West Virginia by 41 points.  If that holds we can expect results in the area of Clinton 67.5% – 32.5% Obama.

The "Obama attacked unfairly" number was 49%.

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2 Responses to West Virginia Exit Polls

  1. Gaius says:

    Looks like a blowout at this point. A little late for Clinton, though.

  2. Rich Horton says:

    Well, if anything it shows Obama’s limited appeal as a candidate.  It isn’t as if West Virginia is some sort of Republican stronghold. I mean if Clinton was originally from Wheeling, OK, you could understand an old fashion frog stomping…but to see the presumptive nominee lose by 41 points is humiliating.
     
     If the Democratic superdelegates were rational they would have supported Clinton MONTHS ago.  Now they are damned if they do damned if they dont.  Support Obama and lose (badly by all indications) in November when EVERY advantage was going your way, or support Clinton and fracture the party.
     
    The only choice the Dems have now is to pick their method of suicide.  Do they choose the long slow agony of poison by supporting the fatally compromised Obama, or do they throw themselves off a 100 story building screaming Hillary’s name as they hit the pavement?
     
    What’s amazing is that most of them dont even realize it yet.