Dangerous Ground

Stuart Rothenberg:

The fact that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is attacking Hoffman – and that a new Club for Growth ad being aired in the district’s three major media markets attacks Owens, contrasts him with Hoffman and ignores Scozzafava – is further proof that the special election has become a two-way race between the Democratic nominee and the Conservative Party nominee.

Interestingly, the National Republican Congressional Committee’s independent expenditure campaign in the race has run three TV spots – all of which have attacked Owens but ignored Hoffman.

That strategy either assumes that Hoffman is irrelevant – a conclusion clearly not warranted by any of the recent polling or accepted by GOP operatives – or is intended to help Hoffman in the event that he emerges as the stronger opponent against the Democrat in the final days of the three-way contest. It isn’t hard to figure out what Republican strategists are doing.

Owens deserves to be favored in the race, if only because of the presence of a credible Republican and a credible Conservative Party nominee.

Democrats could win two out of the three races, but only because multicandidate contests might allow Corzine and Owens to sneak through with a minority of the vote. A win is a win, but even if that happens, it’s not great news for Democrats for 2010.

I’d only point out that it would not be great news for Republicans or conservatives, either. Rothenberg warns that the Democrats could exploit a civil war between conservatives and Republicans all too easily.

I’m all for giving the Republican party insiders food for thought about the direction the party needs to go, trust me. What I fear is leaving Democrats unchecked for the next seven years. We need to find a way to thread this needle, folks.

Mission number one remains stopping ObamaCare. There are 2,000 pages of government takeover of health care in this nation pending in a Nancy Pelosi controlled House. That should terrify you. That should also motivate you to figure out a way to win back control without self-immolation.

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5 Responses to Dangerous Ground

  1. Mwalimu Daudi says:

    I’d only point out that it would not be great news for Republicans or conservatives, either. Rothenberg warns that the Democrats could exploit a civil war between conservatives and Republicans all too easily.

    Too late to worry about that. There has been civil war inside the Republican Party between conservatives and “moderates” since Reagan left office, with moderates trying to force conservatives out of the party (I have lost count of the number of GOP moderates who write books and pontificate on the evils of conservative Republicans and how the party needs to purify itself from the dreaded right wing). What’s different now is that conservatives are finally fighting back.

    Voting for Scozzafava – or McCain, or Graham, or Hutchison, or Lugar, or Snowe, or Collins, or Graham, or any of the Republican “bipartisan centrists” – is in fact giving Democrats unchecked power. All of these individuals are either drifing towards the far Left, or are already there.

    Didn’t the GOP learn its lesson with Specter and Chafee? Both were wooed and feted by the GOP Establishment over more conservative challengers. Both received millions of party dollars for their campaigns. Both eventually ran to the Democrat Party.

    Finally, I would point out the in 2008 the GOP nominated McCain, who would be a leftist even by Democrat standards. The moderates in the Republican Party spent most of their time shoving knives into Sarah Palin’s back, and in the process managed to lose in a blowout election. They will do it again in 2010 and beyond given the chance.

  2. syn says:

    “Voting for Scozzafava – or McCain, or Graham, or Hutchison, or Lugar, or Snowe, or Collins, or Graham, or any of the Republican “bipartisan centrists” – is in fact giving Democrats unchecked power. All of these individuals are either drifing towards the far Left, or are already there.”

    Exactly.

    I did not leave brain-dead Liberalism to join brain-dead moderate-sized Liberalism; at least Conservatism offers an alternative.

    McCain, Romney vs Reid, Lieberman? No difference.

    Lastly, if the NE ‘MODERATE’ quadrant and California ‘Moderates’ are so determined to drown in serfdom then let them drown in their own self-made suffering.

  3. gary gulrud says:

    “What I fear is leaving Democrats unchecked for the next seven years.”

    The above commenters have spoken for me. But about your math: Do you really think the GOP can fail to learn the lesson in 2010 and survive? Gallup had 73% of GOP affiliates believe they’ve lost touch.

  4. ropelight says:

    Virginia is good, very good. New Jersey may turn out to be a harbinger of hope and change, we’ll see, but already it’s scared hell out of Dems. NJ is one they have to win, even it if means the return of the hanging chad.

    NJ is a must win for Dems, and already the knives are out, no dirty trick will be out of bounds. Look for ACORN and the New Black Panthers to be out in force, stuffing ballot boxes and intimidating white voters at key precincts.

    But, for the future of the Republican Party, by far, NY-23 is THE race. GOP insiders at the Republican National Campaign Committee (RNCC) selected Dede Scozzafava, in spite of the fact she was shockingly liberal even for a NY RINO, and first choice in only one of four local district meetings. (Newt lied.)

    Her Republican credentials didn’t matter to NRCC members insulated in DC, to them it was a huge plus that Scozzafava was anathema to locals as well as to Conservatives nationwide. In fact, that was the real reason she was selected, the GOP establishment was determined to slap Conservatives in the face, and to show those Tea Party upstarts who was boss.

    Scozzafava doesn’t even know it, but she’s there to derail the Tea Party movement, drive a wedge between those who seek the illusion of party unity, and those who are willing abandon the GOP’s double talk and back stabbing so they can build a real Conservative Party in America.

    The GOP would rather continue to lose elections than to allow Conservatives an independent role in national politics. Republicans would never win another election. So, for their own self-interest and self-preservation, the RNCC today would rather support a Leftist like Scazzafava that see the success of a grassroots National Conservative movement.

    However the race in NY-23 turns out, the RNCC’s selection of Scozzafava will be remembered as a direct attack on the Conservative movement. The RNCC’s attitude is “Conservatives need not apply.”

    Establishment Republicans however very much do want Conservative votes and money, they want unpaid Conservatives workers to knock on doors, put up signs, and help “get out the vote” (for RINOs), but when it comes to a seat at the table, that’s just not possible, Conservatives end up waiting outside, and eventually getting the cold shoulder.

    The high and mighty GOP leadership in Washington DC isn’t about to let Conservatives inside THEIR tent, we can visit on occasion, but not when it matters. RINO Scozzafava isn’t a Republican, much less a Conservative, but again, that’s not why the RNCC put her on the ticket.

    According to the GOP narrative Scozzafava is there for the idiotic and thoroughly misguided reason that RNCC wanted a woman, any women, even one so liberal that she’s actually farther to the left than half the Democrats in Pilosi’s caucus. But, not a word of that is true, it’s only a fool’s tale, told to hide the real reason, which is to split Conservatives and undermine the Tea Party movement.

    Many Conservatives are fed up with the GOP and they’re fighting back, they have the energy, the money, and the will to fight the Left’s takeover of American institutions, even if the GOP can’t or won’t. And, the GOP can’t allow that to happen, the Republican masters want their compliant white slaves back on the plantation and dancing to the GOP’s tune, even if they have to kill the Tea Party to do it.

  5. feeblemind says:

    Re Mwalimu, syn and ropelight: Well said everyone.

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