The fact that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is attacking Hoffman – and that a new Club for Growth ad being aired in the district’s three major media markets attacks Owens, contrasts him with Hoffman and ignores Scozzafava – is further proof that the special election has become a two-way race between the Democratic nominee and the Conservative Party nominee.
Interestingly, the National Republican Congressional Committee’s independent expenditure campaign in the race has run three TV spots – all of which have attacked Owens but ignored Hoffman.
That strategy either assumes that Hoffman is irrelevant – a conclusion clearly not warranted by any of the recent polling or accepted by GOP operatives – or is intended to help Hoffman in the event that he emerges as the stronger opponent against the Democrat in the final days of the three-way contest. It isn’t hard to figure out what Republican strategists are doing.
Owens deserves to be favored in the race, if only because of the presence of a credible Republican and a credible Conservative Party nominee.
Democrats could win two out of the three races, but only because multicandidate contests might allow Corzine and Owens to sneak through with a minority of the vote. A win is a win, but even if that happens, it’s not great news for Democrats for 2010.
I’d only point out that it would not be great news for Republicans or conservatives, either. Rothenberg warns that the Democrats could exploit a civil war between conservatives and Republicans all too easily.
I’m all for giving the Republican party insiders food for thought about the direction the party needs to go, trust me. What I fear is leaving Democrats unchecked for the next seven years. We need to find a way to thread this needle, folks.
Mission number one remains stopping ObamaCare. There are 2,000 pages of government takeover of health care in this nation pending in a Nancy Pelosi controlled House. That should terrify you. That should also motivate you to figure out a way to win back control without self-immolation.