Lions And Tigers and Bears Elephants, Oh My
Stuart Rothenberg, a political analyst who follows Congressional races, said a report he will release Monday will count 58 Democratic House seats in play, up from 47 in December. The number of Republican seats in play has remained steady at 14 over the same period, he said. At the same time, Democrats expect more of their incumbents to retire, which could put additional seats at risk.
Republicans need a net gain of 40 seats to regain control of the House, a prospect that still seems unlikely, though hardly impossible.
Mr. Rothenberg currently lists seven Democratic Senate seats and four Republican seats in play; that number will not change on Monday, though Mr. Rothenberg recently rated Republicans as likely to take over the seat currently held by Mrs. Lincoln, the Arkansas Democrat.“The Republicans are expanding the playing field, no doubt about that,” Mr. Rothenberg said, describing it as a continuing Democratic deterioration that began late last summer.
If Rothenberg says the seats are in play, pay attention. Pay particular attention to the sharp increase in numbers. I’m guessing that these numbers are low right now and will increase in the coming months – greatly – if Democrats follow the manipulative, mendacious, myopic muchkins over the cliff with the Wizard of 0 and try to ram ObamaCare down America’s throat.
It promises to be a very, very interesting year.
(Personally, if I were a Democrat in Congress, I would not be taking calls from the Emerald House.)
Democrats, Obamantics, Politics | Gaius January 24, 2010
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By chuck, January 24, 2010 @ 8:08 pm
The best part is that the opportunity has come early. Early enough that good people can see the chance and put their name in play.
By feeblemind, January 24, 2010 @ 8:10 pm
While I won’t be unhappy with a gain of 40 seats, in this environment the repubs ought to be able to net 70.
By Gaius, January 24, 2010 @ 8:23 pm
70 might be low.
By philwynk, January 24, 2010 @ 10:46 pm
Don’t get overconfident, guys. The election is a long way away, and a lot can happen in 10 months.
By Maggie, January 24, 2010 @ 10:51 pm
I think Ohio is going to lean ‘red’ too. The Governor’s seat may go to a republican, and others are in play as well.
http://tinyurl.com/yglb7sd
By Tom, January 25, 2010 @ 7:19 am
If I were a Democrat, I would be very, very worried about re-election.
By J, January 25, 2010 @ 9:13 am
This would be reassuring if the republicans start to sound like CONSERVATIVE republicans, at least fiscally, and, hopefully, socially. But the republicans now in power sound more and more like dem lights to me.
By feeblemind, January 25, 2010 @ 2:09 pm
Article at Politico (link at Drudge)quotes retiring Congressman Berry from Ark as saying that Obama told him there will not be a repeat of ‘94 this year. The difference this time being “me’, as in Obama.
He will prevent a huge loss of seats by the force of his personality alone. If he truly believes this, one has every reason to question is sanity.
One shudders to think how this mentality may be shaping his other decisions.
By Gaius, January 25, 2010 @ 3:56 pm
Very true, philwynk. Register to vote, make sure your friends and relatives are registered to vote. Then vote.
By Gaius, January 25, 2010 @ 4:14 pm
Yeah, I just posted about it, feeblemind.
By Bleepless, January 25, 2010 @ 8:01 pm
I wonder if those manipulative, mendacious, myopic munchkins misconstrue moralism’s maddening mediocrity. M?