The independent voters in Iowa are deserting Obama. This is a big deal since Iowa made Obama during the run up to the 2008 election:
A sharp drop in approval for President Barack Obama from Iowa’s political independents has pushed the Democrat’s approval further below 50 percent in the state and below the national average, according to the latest Iowa Poll.
Approval among Iowa independents has dropped 10 percentage points since November, to 38 percent. Independents in Iowa helped Obama win the leadoff nominating caucuses in 2008 and later carry the state in the general election.
Similar shifts in independent voters helped elect Republicans in governor races last year and a special U.S. Senate election last month. The Iowa findings confirm Democrats’ worries that this key voting bloc could sit out this fall or vote for Republicans.
“That’s been the big drop that’s occurred,” Democratic pollster Paul Maslin said of the shift of independents away from Democrats. “It fueled Scott Brown in Massachusetts. It clearly helped create the margin of victory in New Jersey and Virginia.
“It’s obviously a very worrisome development for this November,” said Maslin, who was Howard Dean’s 2004 presidential campaign pollster. “If those kinds of trends continue, then obviously we are in danger of losing the U.S. House and potentially the U.S. Senate.”
Think it’s bad now? If Democrats follow Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi and the Wizard of 0 over the cliff and into the valley of the Little Bighorn, it will be utter ruin for the party.
Ann Althouse gets what’s wrong:
Now, why would we let him do that? We would be imbeciles to accept some big abstraction and not pay attention to the details. Friedman is talking about what Obama should have done to retain the support of voters like me who don’t automatically vote for Democrats, but who thought Obama was more likely than McCain to deal with the various problems we faced in the next 4 years.
I can tell you that I am not distracted by the feeling of having “a big, aspirational project.” It wouldn’t lull me. It would alarm me. I don’t care about the labels and generalities. I voted for Obama the Pragmatist, not Obama the Ideologue or Obama the Lefty.
You know, what Friedman calls “a hodgepodge” or “a to-do list” would be perfectly fine with me. Just make the items on the list — or in the pot — good ones.
The problem is the agenda. The problem is the bill of goods the Democrats and the Wizard are pushing. The problem will be a tombstone chained to Democrats in only a few months. They can try to whistle past this graveyard, but the grim fact is that their agenda has lost the voters that they need to get reelected. If they continue down the path they are going, a lot – a real lot – of them will be gone for good from the political scene.
There are going to be a lot fewer “safe” seats than some Democrats assume come November. There will be virtually no safe seats for Democrats in districts McCain carried in 2008 if congressional Democrats vote to support ZombieCare.
The economy is job one – not the undead health care “reform” that Americans overwhelmingly reject.
Democrats who whistle pat that are whistling The Garryowen.