The argument is made that not passing a bill will create an aura of failure around the administration and the Democrats, hurting them much more than passing a bill with a bare majority in the face of public opinion. I would think that for moderate and conservative Democrats in districts taken by either Bush or McCain, the calculus is different. Those members, who are probably the key to assembling a majority, are probably thinking that they’re in some trouble either way considering the general anti-Democrat mood, but that helping to make sure no bill is passed will earn them more credit in their home districts than standing idly by while it passes, no matter how they themselves vote.
I think that’s right. They can follow their leaders off the cliff or they can slam on the brakes and maybe save themselves and their party in the long run.
I strongly suspect that the Democrats and Obama have badly – really badly – miscalculated the hit they are going to take this year and in the coming years. When people fully understand that they have been forced to pay for insurance from a private insurer – essentially being indentured by Democrat fiat to that private insurer – the backlash will be biblical.
When they also figure out that their health care is much less than what they surrendered for the “reform” the backlash will be apocalyptic.
The promise of laser-like focus on jobs was a lie – so is ObamaCare.
Going over the cliff on this one will be very, very bad for the Democrats.