Tea Leaves

Not looking good – despite the attempts to spin it in the most positive light possible:

Some neutral observers and senior strategists within the party have begun to believe that the national political environment is not only similar to what they saw in 1994 — when Democrats lost control of the House and Senate — but could in fact be worse by Election Day.

A quick look at the broadest atmospheric indicators designed to measure which way the national winds are blowing — the generic ballot and presidential approval — affirms the sense that the political environment looks every bit as gloomy for Democrats today as it did 16 years ago.

“President Obama’s job [approval] number is likely to be as bad or worse than [Bill] Clinton’s when November rolls around, the Democratic generic-ballot advantage of plus 12 to plus 15 in 2006 and 2008 is now completely gone, and conservatives are energized like 1994,” said Stu Rothenberg, an independent political analyst and editor of the Rothenberg Political Report, a well-read campaign tip sheet.

The generic ballot — would you vote for an unnamed Democrat or an unnamed Republican? — is either similar or worse for Democrats (depending on which poll you look at) than it was in 1994.

Cillizza does his best to paint this as not that bad. But the individual polls are only a snapshot – the trends are disastrous.

They’ve already followed their leader into the valley. It’s too late for them to fix things up with the voters. They lied, cheated and played tricks to get their agenda passed.

Now they get to pay for it. Voters are angry – more importantly independent voters are angry. The payback will be biblical. There is only one poll that counts. That one will be in November.

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One Response to Tea Leaves

  1. Yes, the indies will decide this election and every poll shows them tipping to the GOP. I guess my question is when is the “cake baked”?

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